Looking At Their Schedules; The Arizona Schools

Now that we’ve taken a look at the Power Rankings it is time to take a look at Pac-12 team’s schedules and determine the win probability of each game. This will be pretty easy and quick. There will be two teams per-post, for simplicities sake we will go with the school they face in their end of the regular season rivalry game. These schools schedules will be laid out and then their games will be sorted into five categories; Should Lose, Probably Will Lose, Toss-up, Probably Will Win, and Should Win. Pretty simple stuff right?
Alright, let’s dive into the first post with the Arizona Schools, starting right after the jump.

                Date; Opponent; Time
September 1st; Toledo; 7:30 pm PT*
September 8th; Oklahoma State; 7:30 pm
September 15th; South Carolina State; 7:30 pm
September 22nd; @Oregon; TBA
September 29th; Oregon State; TBA
October 6th; @Stanford; TBA
October 20th; Washington; TBA
October 27th; USC; TBA
November 3rd; @UCLA; TBA
November 10th; Colorado; TBA
November 17th; @Utah; TBA
November 23rd; Arizona State; 8:00 pm MT**
Should Lose: USC, Oregon, Stanford, and Oklahoma State
Probably Will Lose: South Carolina State, Washington, and Utah
Toss-up: UCLA, Colorado, Toledo, Oregon State, and Arizona State
Probably Will Win: n/a
Should Win: n/a
Analysis: The Wildcats won four games last year and it doesn’t look like things will be looking up after they saw their starting QB graduate after throwing for nearly 4300 yards. Add in the fact that their defense was pretty much a sieve last year and it definitely seems like Rich Rodriguez will have his work cut out for him down in Tucson.  For the Wildcats to get to a Bowl Game they would have to win all of their toss-up games AND snag a couple of the Probably Will Lose games as well; basically it is unlikely that we will see the Wildcats playing past the Governor’s Cup. 
Date; Opponent; Time
Thursday August 30th; Northern Arizona; 7:30 pm PT*
Saturday September 8th; Illinois; 7:30 pm
Saturday September 15th; @Missouri; 4:00 pm
Saturday September 22nd; Utah; TBA
Saturday September 29th; @California; TBA
Thursday October 11th; @Colorado; 6:00 pm PT
Thursday October 18th; Oregon; 6:00 pm
Saturday October 27th; UCLA; TBA
Saturday November 3rd; @Oregon State; TBA
Saturday November 17th; Washington State; TBA
Friday November 23rd; @Arizona; 8:00pm MT**
Should Lose: Oregon, USC, and Missouri
Probably Will Lose:Illinois, Utah, and California
Toss-up: UCLA, Washington State, Oregon State, and Arizona
Probably Will Win: Colorado
Should Win: Northern Arizona
Analysis: The Sun Devil’s path to a Bowl Game looks much easier than their in-state brethren. They have more returning talent and an easier schedule. Their hardest road game is probably going to be going up against Missouri, whom they beat in Tempe last season. Missouri is now in the SEC and is going to be looking to for revenge AND to prove they belong. If they win the two games that I’m sure they will be heavy favorites in and sweep their toss-up games the Sun Devils should be bowling come December.
* PT is Pacific Standard Time
** MT is Mountain Time
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