Welcome to another exciting week of college football. This weekend’s slate of games all feature teams from the SEC West, what a surprise. Let’s start with a Top 10 matchup between #1 Alabama and #6 Texas A&M.
|12:30 PM PT||CBS||ALA -18.0|
How Texas A&M Wins: No turnovers. You cannot afford to give Alabama’s defense the ball, especially considering how pretty much every game going back to last year either their defense or special teams has had a touchdown. Trevor Knight needs to have a big game passing, Trayveon Williams needs to have a bigger game rushing. Don’t showboat like you did against Tennessee two weeks ago and almost cost your team the game.
How Alabama Wins: I know it’s a formula you are all tired of hearing, but run the ball and play good defense. Bama doesn’t have the best quarterback but they don’t need to. As long as they don’t beat themselves, they should be fine.
The Bottom Line: I’m actually going with A&M in this one. They are a surprisingly underrated football team, and I think Alabama may be overlooking them. This could be 2012 (but without a booze guzzling quarterback) all over again.
|3:00 PM PT||ESPN||AUB -10.5|
How Arkansas Wins: Balanced attack with Austin Allen and Rawleigh Williams. They should have confidence after grinding out a tough win against Ole Miss. As long as they don’t let the crowd at Jordan-Hare Stadium get to them, the Hogs should be ok in this one.
How Auburn Wins: Play good defense. They average only 16 points per game, and that is huge in an SEC West that has a lot of very explosive offenses. As long as Sean White gets the ball to Tony Stevens and the Tigers run the ball well with Kerryon Johnson, they should be alright.
The Bottom Line: I don’t know enough about Auburn to trust them so I’m going with Arkansas. Their only two losses were to the teams above (Bama and A&M), so they are probably the more battle-tested team in this one. I also don’t think Auburn is flashy enough to keep up with the Hogs offense.
|6:00 PM PT||ESPN||LSU -7.5|
How Ole Miss Wins: For the love of God play defense. If you haven’t learned anything from your three losses it’s that you can’t afford to give up 30+ points to teams every game. Sorry rant over, now I’m going to talk about how great Chad Kelly is and how the Rebels would be lost without him. They wouldn’t even be ranked at this point.
How LSU Wins: It’s called Death Valley for a reason people. Teams just aren’t the same once they enter. Derrius Guice has done a splendid job in Leonard Fournette’s absence. Tigers teams aren’t traditionally known for their quarterback play, so as long as they can play defense and run the football it should be alright.
The Bottom Line: Something about LSU feels off this year. Same with Ole Miss. I trust Ole Miss more because they actually came close to beating Alabama so I’m going with them. I might as well have gone to school there I’ve picked them so much.
Anyways I’m 14-9 in college football picks this year. Have a safe weekend everyone 🙂