College Football Week 12 Preview

I am 17-16 on the year, and am looking to improve off of last weekend.  Let’s start with the cancelled game between the Florida Gators and the LSU Tigers.

10:00 AM PT SECN LSU -14.0

23 Florida

(7-2, 5-2 SEC)

7-2

16 LSU

(6-3, 4-2 SEC)

How Florida Wins:  They build off of their win over South Carolina last week and don’t allow any of the LSU running backs to have a big game.  The Gators only allow 13.3 points per game, so it will come down to forcing LSU to throw the ball, and cashing in on any turnovers the Tigers commit.

How LSU Wins:  Running back by committee.  Besides Leonard Fournette, the Tigers also have a great running back in Derrius Guice.  LSU needs to continue to play good defense, and feed off of the energy of their home crowd.  As long as they follow that formula the Tigers will prevail.

The Bottom Line:  I am still not sold on Florida, especially traveling to a hostile area like Death Valley.  LSU wins, and they continue to make a strong case at a New Years Six Bowl.  Florida by default wins the SEC East, but that’s pretty much it as they will probably lose to Alabama in the SEC Title game.

12:30 PM PT FOX COLO -5.5

22 Washington State

(8-2, 7-0 Pac-12)

8-2

10 Colorado

(8-2, 6-1 Pac-12)

How Washington State Wins:  Luke Falk continues to take care of his God-given arm and throw touchdown passes to Gabe Marks.  Unfortunately the Cougs lost River Cracraft for the year, but that should not slow down their aerial attack, in fact it may free up their running game too.  The Cougs can score points in bunches so as long as their defense does their job, they should win easily.

How Colorado Wins:  Run the ball with Phillip Lindsay and play good defense.  The Buffaloes also need to slow down that Cougar attack because they average more than 40 points per game and 500 yards of offense per game.  Colorado averages 17.9 points against per game, so they definitely need to corral the Cougs offensive attack, and make their defense pay like Eastern Washington did at the start of the year.

The Bottom Line:  I’m biased because I’m a Coug, but I’ve got a feeling that Colorado isn’t as good as people think they might be.  Cougs slay their first Top 10 team of the season, and set up a perfect matchup with their cross-state rival Washington Purple Puppies.

5:00 PM PT ABC OKLA -3.5

9 Oklahoma

(8-2, 7-0 Big 12)

8-2

14 West Virginia

(8-1, 5-1 Big 12)

How Oklahoma Wins:  Baker Mayfield throws the ball efficiently to Dede Westbrook, and he hands it off to Joe Mixon.  The Sooners have come a long way since losing at Houston and against Ohio State to start the year.  If Oklahoma keeps this offensive explosion up (44.2 PPG and 557.4 YPG), than they will be victorious.

How West Virginia Wins:  You really don’t hear much about these guys.  First they were the team everyone was talking about having a shot at the College Football Playoff, now they’re on the outside looking in.  Quarterback Skyler Howard needs to make big plays against this Oklahoma defense or this will be a long day for the Mountaineers.

The Bottom Line:  Oklahoma just has too much talent.  West Virginia won’t be able to keep up, even at home.  Sooners continue to make noise in the Big 12, and show they have an outside shot at the College Football Playoff.

Well that’s all for this week everyone, have a safe weekend.

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Categories: College Football, Miscellaneous

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